Lillie's Determination

#169Ultra RareUltra Rarenonfoil

Cardmarket trend

€23.11

Foil trend

Pack odds (community model)

1 in 400 packs

Chance per 36-pack box

8.6%

Cost to pull one copy (box at €160)

€1,778

vs buying the single

€23.11

BUY · 77× cheaper to buy

Expect one copy roughly every 11 boxes (400 packs).

Check live offers on Cardmarket →

Supply intelligence

Est. copies printed & sold

booster-pack channel, to date

Est. circulating (opened)

70-90% opened share

Est. circulating value

trend price × circulating band

Modelled estimates with a deliberate low-high band: print runs are secret, so CARDCAP triangulates from public sell-through anchors, the pull odds and an opened-share assumption. Never presented as publisher data.

Same card, different assets

Each printing has its own supply and its own odds. CARDCAP never merges them.

#184Special Illustration Rare1 in 910 packs€51.60

Odds: a disclosed community-aggregated model (SV/Mega community aggregate, 2026-06 (rev2)), Pokémon publishes no pack odds. Prices: Cardmarket EUR trend reference. As of 2026-07-14. Supply figures are modelled estimates with disclosed assumptions. Not financial advice.