Odds of pulling a Hyper Rare
A Hyper Rare is the gold, textured “rainbow” cards that are among the hardest single pulls in a set. Across the 4 recent Pokémon sets we model, one shows up about 1 in 40 to 1 in 179 booster packs, roughly 3.31% to 49.9% per sealed unit. Pokémon publishes no pack odds, so these ride a disclosed community-sampled model, ranked and linked to every card below.
Hyper Rare odds by set
| Set | Odds / pack | Per unit | Sealed | Cost to pull one |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Destined Rivals6 cards | 1 in 53 | 49.9% | €170 · 36p | €249 |
| Journey Together3 cards | 1 in 53 | 49.9% | €110 · 36p | €161 |
| Prismatic Evolutions5 cards | 1 in 179 | 3.31% | €70 · 6p | €2,083 |
| 1513 cards | 1 in 40 | 14.1% | €60 · 6p | €400 |
“Cost to pull one” is the sealed price divided by the expected number of Hyper Rares of any kind per sealed unit, so it is the cost for any card in the slot, not your specific one (that costs much more). Odds are a binomial approximation across independent packs.
The Hyper Rares worth chasing
The priciest Hyper Rares across these sets, each with its own pull odds. Tap any card for its full cost-to-pull, BUY / RIP verdict and modelled supply.
Pikachu exPrismatic Evolutions · #179 · 1 in 895 packs€88.77
Team Rocket's Mewtwo exDestined Rivals · #240 · 1 in 315 packs€70.44
Cynthia's Garchomp exDestined Rivals · #241 · 1 in 315 packs€34.56
Ethan's Ho-Oh exDestined Rivals · #239 · 1 in 315 packs€33.74
Team Rocket's Crobat exDestined Rivals · #242 · 1 in 315 packs€28.66
N's Zoroark exJourney Together · #189 · 1 in 160 packs€21.86
Mew ex151 · #205 · 1 in 120 packs€21.60
Jamming TowerDestined Rivals · #243 · 1 in 315 packs€21.50
LevinciaDestined Rivals · #244 · 1 in 315 packs€20.72
Iono's Bellibolt exJourney Together · #188 · 1 in 160 packs€17.80
Walking Wake exPrismatic Evolutions · #178 · 1 in 895 packs€14.10
Terapagos exPrismatic Evolutions · #180 · 1 in 895 packs€12.51How Hyper Rare odds work
Every booster pack has one slot that can land on the Hyper Rare tier. The pack-odds figure is the chance that slot resolves to any Hyper Rare at all; divide it across the Hyper Rares in the set and you get each individual card's odds. Summed back up across the slot, the tier lands about 1 in 40 to 1 in 179 packs.
Because each pack is independent, the “1 in N” is a long-run average, not a promise for the next box. Per box, the chance of at least one is higher (shown above) because you get multiple independent tries.
Odds ride a disclosed, versioned community-sampled model (SV/Mega community aggregate, 2026-06 (rev2); Prismatic community sample (TCGplayer 1,200 packs, god-pack-adjusted), 2025; 151 community sample (PokePatch 1,000+ packs), 2025) because the Pokémon TCG publishes no official pack odds. Figures are a binomial-per-pack approximation over Cardmarket-counted pools. Prices are Cardmarket EUR trend references, not sold-price records. As of 2026-07-14. Informational only, not financial advice. Foilio is an independent fan project, unaffiliated with any publisher.
Questions, answered
What are the odds of pulling a Hyper Rare in Pokémon?+
Across the 4 recent sets we model, a Hyper Rare appears roughly 1 in 40 to 1 in 179 booster packs, or about 3.31% to 49.9% per sealed booster unit. Exact odds vary by set, the per-set table above shows each one. Pokémon does not publish official pack odds, so these are from a disclosed, community-sampled model, not the publisher.
How many packs (or boxes) to pull a Hyper Rare?+
Because the rate is about 1 in 40 to 1 in 179 packs, you would open on the order of that many packs, on average, for a single Hyper Rare. Averages are not guarantees: a slot is independent every pack, so you can hit early or go far past the average. See the per-set "cost to pull" column for the expected spend cracking sealed at each set's box price.
Is it cheaper to pull a Hyper Rare or just buy the single?+
Almost always cheaper to buy the exact card. Cost-to-pull is the box price divided by how many copies of the whole Hyper Rare slot you expect per box, and it is spread across every card in the slot, so pulling YOUR specific Hyper Rare costs far more than any one single. Each card's page has its own BUY / RIP verdict.
Are these official Pokémon pull rates?+
No. The Pokémon TCG does not publish pack odds, so every figure here rides a disclosed, versioned community-sampled model (SV/Mega community aggregate, 2026-06 (rev2); Prismatic community sample (TCGplayer 1,200 packs, god-pack-adjusted), 2025; 151 community sample (PokePatch 1,000+ packs), 2025). Prices are Cardmarket EUR trend references, not sold-price records. Informational only, not financial advice.